Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.185101 0.214478 0.247011 0.285716 0.330520 0.380770 0.441433
2025-07-20 0.141650 0.181677 0.230660 0.295041 0.377505 0.479702 0.616179
2025-07-27 0.118479 0.163008 0.221396 0.303618 0.416581 0.566602 0.781485
2025-08-03 0.100892 0.146983 0.210915 0.306156 0.444710 0.639407 0.934725
2025-08-10 0.086127 0.131834 0.198392 0.302498 0.461638 0.696472 1.070809
2025-08-17 0.073115 0.116969 0.183663 0.292620 0.466717 0.735104 1.182371
2025-08-24 0.066386 0.110583 0.180521 0.299426 0.497282 0.814762 1.365857
2025-08-31 0.059670 0.103177 0.174598 0.300587 0.518244 0.880688 1.534037
2025-09-07 0.054547 0.097670 0.170932 0.304706 0.544071 0.956735 1.727389
2025-09-14 0.048502 0.089742 0.162101 0.298583 0.550991 1.000576 1.868596
2025-09-21 0.043859 0.083717 0.155825 0.296087 0.563751 1.055521 2.035511
2025-09-28 0.040444 0.079526 0.152326 0.298163 0.584930 1.127635 2.242338
2025-10-05 0.038810 0.078626 0.154999 0.312586 0.631929 1.254547 2.572900
2025-10-12 0.036778 0.076704 0.155504 0.322846 0.672040 1.372881 2.901503
2025-10-19 0.034843 0.074723 0.155620 0.332234 0.711312 1.493636 3.249353
2025-10-26 0.032447 0.071476 0.152763 0.335012 0.736940 1.588969 3.554367
2025-11-02 0.029694 0.067122 0.147079 0.331008 0.747381 1.653159 3.798637
2025-11-09 0.026675 0.061820 0.138763 0.320194 0.741412 1.680900 3.963920
2025-11-16 0.025388 0.060291 0.138557 0.327645 0.777629 1.806142 4.369021
2025-11-23 0.023759 0.057772 0.135835 0.328916 0.799546 1.901064 4.713468
2025-11-30 0.022494 0.055968 0.134553 0.333425 0.829615 2.018098 5.125360
2025-12-07 0.020631 0.052488 0.128931 0.326721 0.831496 2.067905 5.375631
2025-12-14 0.019176 0.049861 0.125085 0.323989 0.842962 2.142298 5.697495